Saturday, October 17, 2009

FOREX trading

Trade Binary Options as a Hedging Strategy for Forex Trading

Posted by Shawn on Wednesday, June 10, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Forex traders often encounter failure of their strategies in the dreaded stop-loss zone. This zone, adjacent to the breakout point, is the fuzzy area where we Forex traders often place stops to protect ourselves from further losses. Each Forex trader who trade options uses different rules for his stop loss point. Usually this is slightly above or below the breakout point. But as we have all experienced, the problem is that a breakout often tests the breakout price, sometimes dropping slightly below the breakout price, ’shaking us out’ of our trade. Therefore the stop-loss point becomes fuzzy, forcing us to choose lower and lower stop-loss points, and wearing us out each time we re-enter the same breakout point.
Trade Binary Options using Binary Hedging Strategy

One attractive possibility is to hedge our Forex trade using a binary option hedge. This is actually much simpler than it sounds. What it actually does is shift our risk from the stop-loss zone to the area above the breakout point, where the prices are more likely to rise and where the breakout is less likely to fail due to the properties of trader momentum.

* Here we outline one such hedging strategy, using binary options trading to hedge against our Forex trades.
In this example, i place a trade of 1 mini lot EURUSD long, when its price crosses my breakout point of $1.00. Should the EURUSD test my breakout point before i exit this trade, i will place a $100 PUT binary option trade. What this does is shift my original breakout point lower, similar to a stop-loss, such that i am profitable as long as a test of the original EURUSD breakout point does not leave my Forex account with greater than a $70 loss. If I incur more than a $70 loss in my Forex account, then I immediately exit the EURUSD position.

oil

Three conditions must be present for oil reservoirs to form: a source rock rich in hydrocarbon material buried deep enough for subterranean heat to cook it into oil; a porous and permeable reservoir rock for it to accumulate in; and a cap rock (seal) or other mechanism that prevents it from escaping to the surface. Within these reservoirs, fluids will typically organize themselves like a three-layer cake with a layer of water below the oil layer and a layer of gas above it, although the different layers vary in size between reservoirs. Because most hydrocarbons are lighter than rock or water, they often migrate upward through adjacent rock layers until either reaching the surface or becoming trapped within porous rocks (known as reservoirs) by impermeable rocks above. However, the process is influenced by underground water flows, causing oil to migrate hundreds of kilometres horizontally or even short distances downward before becoming trapped in a reservoir. When hydrocarbons are concentrated in a trap, an oil field forms, from which the liquid can be extracted by drilling and pumping.



The reactions that produce oil and natural gas are often modeled as first order breakdown reactions, where hydrocarbons are broken down to oil and natural gas by a set of parallel reactions, and oil eventually breaks down to natural gas by another set of reactions. The latter set is regularly used in petrochemical plants and oil refineries.
Crude oil varies greatly in appearance depending on its composition. It is usually black or dark brown (although it may be yellowish or even greenish). In the reservoir it is usually found in association with natural gas, which being lighter forms a gas cap over the petroleum, and saline water which, being heavier than most forms of crude oil, generally sinks beneath it. Crude oil may also be found in semi-solid form mixed with sand and water, as in the Athabasca oil sands in Canada, where it is usually referred to as crude bitumen. In Canada, bitumen is considered a sticky, tar-like form of crude oil which is so thick and heavy that it must be heated or diluted before it will flow.[5] Venezuela also has large amounts of oil in the Orinoco oil sands, although the hydrocarbons trapped in them are more fluid than in Canada and are usually called extra heavy oil. These oil sands resources are called unconventional oil to distinguish them from oil which can be extracted using traditional oil well methods. Between them, Canada and Venezuela contain an estimated 3.6 trillion barrels (570×10^9 m3) of bitumen and extra-heavy oil, about twice the volume of the world's reserves of conventional oil.
etroleum is found in porous rock formations in the upper strata of some areas of the Earth's crust. There is also petroleum in oil sands (tar sands). Known reserves of petroleum are typically estimated at around 190 km3 (1.2 trillion (short scale) barrels) without oil sands, or 595 km3 (3.74 trillion barrels) with oil sands.Consumption is currently around 84 million barrels (13.4×10^6 m3) per day, or 4.9 km3 per year. Because the energy return over energy invested (EROEI) ratio of oil is constantly falling (due to physical phenomena such as residual oil saturation, and the economic factor of rising marginal extraction costs), recoverable oil reserves are significantly less than total oil in place[citation needed] . At current consumption levels, and assuming that oil will be consumed only from reservoirs, known recoverable reserves would be gone around 2039 , potentially leading to a global energy crisis. However, to date discoveries of new oil reserves have more than matched increased usage. In addition, there are factors which may extend or reduce this estimate, including the increasing demand for petroleum in developing nations, particularly China and India; further new discoveries; increased economic viability of recoveries from more difficult to exploit sources; energy conservation and use of alternative energy sources; and new economically viable exploitation of unconventional oil sources.
Petroleum is used mostly, by volume, for producing fuel oil and gasoline (petrol), both important "primary energy" sources. 84% by volume of the hydrocarbons present in petroleum is converted into energy-rich fuels (petroleum-based fuels), including gasoline, diesel, jet, heating, and other fuel oils, and liquefied petroleum gas.[8] The lighter grades of crude oil produce the best yields of these products, but as the world's reserves of light and medium oil are depleted, oil refineries are increasingly having to process heavy oil and bitumen, and use more complex and expensive methods to produce the products required. Because heavier crude oils have too much carbon and not enough hydrogen, these processes generally involve removing carbon from or adding hydrogen to the molecules, and using fluid catalytic cracking to convert the longer, more complex molecules in the oil to the shorter, simpler ones in the fuels.

Due to its high energy density, easy transportability and relative abundance, oil has become the world's most important source of energy since the mid-1950s. Petroleum is also the raw material for many chemical products, including pharmaceuticals, solvents, fertilizers, pesticides, and plastics; the 16% not used for energy production is converted into these other materials.

Petroleum is found in porous rock formations in the upper strata of some areas of the Earth's crust. There is also petroleum in oil sands (tar sands). Known reserves of petroleum are typically estimated at around 190 km3 (1.2 trillion (short scale) barrels) without oil sands, or 595 km3 (3.74 trillion barrels) with oil sands.Consumption is currently around 84 million barrels (13.4×10^6 m3) per day, or 4.9 km3 per year. Because the energy return over energy invested (EROEI) ratio of oil is constantly falling (due to physical phenomena such as residual oil saturation, and the economic factor of rising marginal extraction costs), recoverable oil reserves are significantly less than total oil in place[citation needed] . At current consumption levels, and assuming that oil will be consumed only from reservoirs, known recoverable reserves would be gone around 2039 , potentially leading to a global energy crisis. However, to date discoveries of new oil reserves have more than matched increased usage. In addition, there are factors which may extend or reduce this estimate, including the increasing demand for petroleum in developing nations, particularly China and India; further new discoveries; increased economic viability of recoveries from more difficult to exploit sources; energy conservation and use of alternative energy sources; and new economically

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Forex News Trader

How do the majority of profitable Forex traders truly profit in the FX market? One way… they trade the news!

Forex News Trader was developed to give traders the edge they need to learn how to trade based on economic news events from around the world. The same edge the institutions use to make hundreds of millions and even billions of dollars in profit each year.

Forex News Trading will provide you with the information you need to give you a true insider’s understanding of the Forex markets. You will feel confident in your trading, and never doubt your trades again.

Does this mean you will win every trade? No, of course not, but armed with the knowledge Forex News Trader will provide you, you will never be afraid to take that next trade – as the odds will now be tipped in your favor.

Each and every month there are a tremendous number of news releases for the Off Exchange Retail Foreign Currency Market (FOREX). Many of these events and announcements move the markets considerably. But how do you properly capitalize on these moves? Get it wrong and you could be wiped out. Get it right and you can be in a small group of trading elite, consistently pulling pips out of the market each and every week.

Global Forex Trading




When looking for the best automated Forex trading systems, a strong contender is the one enclosed and don’t think because its free it doesn’t work - it does and has for over 20 years…

automated Forex trading systemsThere is no question Forex trading systems have a bad reputation and this is down to the numerous junk robots that are sold with track records that are simply back tests and not proven. The system we are going to look at here on the other hand has been used by savvy traders around the world for years and works.

The system we are going to look at is the 4 Week Rule and it was devised by one of the great traders Richard Donchian and since the late seventies it’s been at the heart of some of the top traders systems - even trading legend Richard Dennis was a fan so you know your in good company.

The system is incredibly simple and you don’t even need a computer to run it - it has one simple rule, so lets look at it.

Buy a new 4 week high and reverse the position when a new 4 week low is hit - keep buying the 4 week high and selling the 4 week low and always maintain a position in the market.

You can’t get much more simple than that and but if you think about the logic it’s soundly based.

1. it’s a very simple breakout system and it’s a fact that most major trends start from breaks to new market highs or lows.

2. By its very nature its long term and if you look at a Forex chart, you will see the big trends can last many months or longer.

3. This system as it is always in the market so is guaranteed to put you on the side of every big trend.

It’s also got some other great advantages, it’s quick to implement about 15 minutes a day max and gives you a set trading signal with no subjective judgement needed.

Despite the fact it works and will continue to work most traders won’t bother with it and here are the reasons why.

1. They think its to simple despite the fact it works

2. They want to buy tops and bottoms exactly, despite the fact you can’t do this

3. Its to long term and traders always like action and lack the discipline to hold long term trends

4. It’s not complex - traders think this increases chances of success but of course the opposite is true - simple systems are more robust.

5. It’s not based on fancy theories chaos, neural networks, artificial intelligence etc - these theories don’t work in Forex but again traders love them.

6. There is no fancy packaging or a ridiculous name that insinuates taking on and beating the market.

Most traders pick junk robots with simulated track records and fall for the hype. This automated Forex trading system has no hype but plenty of profits and I know which system I would rather have!

The system works and will continue to work and if you are interested in long term profits take a look at it and it can increase your chances of forex trading success.

Can FAP Turbo Really Automate Your Internet Trading
This is especially the case if you are talking about trading on the Forex market as there are some automated systems which are actually quite good. There are literally dozens of these

All Information About Forex The Best Converting And Best
The best automated system I have come across so far has been the FAPTURBO IT does what it says on the tin… Fapturbo Is The Only Automated Forex Income Solution.

Forex Trading System Review How Can You Find the Best Trading
By simply installing the system, customizing your settings including level of risk, the amount of times you would like the system to trade your account in a given week and other options,

The Forex Autopilot System in 2009 Is it Still the Most
Automated Forex Trading Software - 5 Simple Tips to Select the Most Profitable Forex Robot System Are you looking for the best automated forex trading software to double.





forex market



Global ForexThe Forex Market has 46 currency pairs on a conservative estimate. Telling you that you would need to keep an eye on developments on all the countries of the globe would be asking too much of you. For starters, you could keep an eye on developments of the countries whose currencies who have invested in the Forex Market. Look for economic and political developments that could create a stir in the forex market.

Why monitoring the political and economic scenarios of countries are important to global Forex trading?

As it has been observed statistically, the value of currency of a country changes a lot due to the economic and political climate of the country. For example, the Federal Rate cuts on Interest rates aimed at controlling the sub-prime crisis in USA increased the value of the US Dollar. Don’t get carried away of you get a cue from one such indicator. Please make a list of all such factors that would impact a currency in the Forex Trading Market.

A long pending factor to a currency movement is the price of crude oil per barrel. As the price of crude oil inches towards $100 per barrel, the US Dollar is inching towards new lows by the day. In such a scenario, you would think that the US Dollar could be undermined severely.

The sentiments of traders across the globe should also be considered

It is important that you stay updated with other traders of the forex market too. At the end of the day, traders and the developments in a country impact the pricing of a currency at 50:50 ratio. A classic example of this is the rebound of US Dollar. It has been observed that the Dollar has hit new lows almost every other day of the trading. Last week, a lot of people realized that the Dollar has much more potential than what it shows. This triggered widespread buying of the Dollar.

How would all this impact you as a trader?

Let’s take the example of EUR/USD. Let us assume that you had bought some USD two months ago when it was getting battered. Now with the correction taking place, you are more or less in a position to decide if you wish to stay in the market or exit booking your profits. The correction trend is expected to continue to till the new year after which the forecast for the Dollar looks a bit bleak.

Ideally, a smart trader would book his profits partly on the resounding correction of the US Dollar. He would keep a part of the money invested in the market to see how the Dollar behaves. The point being made here is that your eye on the economic developments of the country could be the best indicator for you to analyze your buy and sell points in the trade.

Which factors to be considered in forex trading?

Growth, Inflation, Crude Oil Prices – are three important factors in no order of priority would need to be taken into count when you make a sell or a buy call in a currency. Please note that there is no direct correlation between these three but all these impact the movement of a currency.

Successful Forex trading is about how you look at the developments of a country. Taking macro and micro economic factors into consideration will make you a smart trader instead of a speculative trader. As it goes, the speculative trader may make a lot of money but will also lose a lot of

ForexGen


Forex Trading | ForexGen
by: forexgenpivot Keywords: forexgen, forex, online, option, trading, online, forex, broker, forex, information, global, forex, forex, factory, forex, stock, trading, forex


In FOREX trading, there are six major reasons traders lose money. If you can avoid these pitfalls then you can join the minority of winners that pile up the big profits consistently.
Here are the trading traps that will cause you to lose money:



1. The Contrarian’s DiseaseYou should have a contrary opinion to the other Forex traders in the market – most traders lose money, so you want to trade in opposition to the herd.
Most traders lose because they lack discipline and money management - but they’re very often right about market direction. It’s the trader’s inability to maximise these opportunities when they’re trading the FOREX - and stay with the trend, that makes them lose money.
Many traders are looking to pick tops and bottoms, and never focus on trend following. Picking tops and bottoms is impossible. You can’t predict the turning points in FOREX trading - so you need to change your focus to trend following, not prediction.
2. The Chartists Trap
In FOREX trading many traders fall into the trap of putting all their efforts into studying charts. Studying charts is important - but you must not be too subjective, or you will end up losing.
Avoid methods that need too much subjective analysis, such as Elliot Wave and cycles - and gravitate towards indicators that define trends - such as moving averages and momentum oscillators.
Be objective and not subjective in your FOREX trading.
3. Ego
FOREX trading attracts some of the cleverest people in the world, these traders are smart - but they also have big egos. An ego is a bad trait in FOREX trading - as it means you always want to see the market, as you want to see it - and not how it really is.
Traders need to ask themselves this question: Do you want to make money or feel smart? The market won’t accommodate both of these desires – if you want to make money, leave your ego behind.
The humble trader who has an objective and disciplined FOREX trading plan, realizes the market can make him (and everyone else) look stupid. However, he’s only interested in making money, and he’ll generally out perform an ego filled trader, who wants to beat the market.
4. Guru Syndrome
When you’re trading in the FOREX market, it’s tempting to follow someone who’s made money - or says they have.
It’s a fact that most traders want success given to them by someone else, and these traders can’t take responsibility for their own actions.
In the game of FOREX trading, the only way to succeed is on your own - if you can’t accept this, then do something else.
5. Chasing your Tail
Many traders get impatient when FOREX trading - they start trading using one method, get frustrated with it when it’s not performing - they then switch to a different method, and so on.
Bad periods are normally followed by good trading results (if you’re using a soundly based system) - so patience and discipline are needed. By frequently chopping and changing systems, you’ll lose money.
If you have a trading plan that you believe in, then stick with it - and stop chasing your tail. Stay focused, and be patient with your system.
6. Using Options Incorrectly
When you’re FOREX trading, using options gives you staying power - and limited risk, which makes options a great trading tool.
Many traders use options incorrectly - they focus on buying options with small time value, and that are way out of the money. This is a guaranteed way to lose money when options trading! What you need to do is focus on buying options, at or in the money - with lots of time value - also use spreads to increase your chances of success.
In conclusion - Don’t try and be too smart - the above pitfalls are made by some of the brightest traders around. In most cases these mistakes come from thinking you have to be clever, or use complicated methods to succeed - however the reverse is true.
Keep your method simple, keep your focus, accept responsibility for your actions, and accept that the market will make you look stupid at times – it does it to everyone!
If you watch out for the six pitfalls outlined above, you’ll be able to make big long-term profits - and that’s the ONLY goal in FOREX trading.
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Aug 31, 2008 at 15:16 o\clock
Introduction To Forex Trading | ForexGen
by: forexgenpivot Keywords: forexgen, trading, forex, broker, online, forex, trading, forex, market, forex, trading, software, forex, trading, system, forex, trade, forex

There are many markets: markets for stocks, futures, options and currencies. These are probably the most accessible markets for everyday traders like you and I. People easily understand the basics of trading shares. I began trading shares first and then I moved on to trading currencies.If you do not know a lot about currency trading, allow me to introduce it to you. It is what I trade and I believe that it is one of the best markets to trade because of its efficiency. The transaction costs to execute a trade are minimal and most brokers provide you with the tools and data you need to make your trading decisions, they usually provide them for free.
The market is open 24 hours a day which allows you to design your trading hours around your daily commitments. It is very volatile, which is great for those people who are looking for day-trading opportunities.

The foreign exchange market is the market in which currencies are bought and sold against one another. People may loosely refer to this market under different labels, including foreign exchange market, forex market, fx market or the currency market.
The foreign exchange market is the largest market in the world, with daily trading volumes in excess of $1.5 trillion US dollars. All transactions involving international trade and investment must go through this market because these transactions involve the exchange of currencies.
It is the most perfect market that exists because it has a large number of buyers and sellers all selling the same products. There is a free flow of information and there are little barriers to participate.
The currency exchange market is an over-the-counter (OTC) market which means that there is not one specific location where buyers and sellers can actually meet to exchange currencies. Instead, transactions are conducted by phone, fax, e-mail or through the websites of brokers who specialize in currency trading.
The major dealing centers at the time of writing are: London , with about 30% of the market, New York , with 20%, Tokyo , with 12%, Zurich , Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Singapore , with about 7% each, followed by Paris and Sydney with 3% each. Because of the fact that these centers are all over the world, foreign exchange traders can execute transactions 24 hours a day. The market only closes on the weekends.
THE MAIN ‘PLAYERS’ IN THE FOREX MARKET
The five broad categories of participants are: consumers, businesses, investors, speculators, commercial banks, investment banks and central banks.
Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.
Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.
Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.
Large commercial and investment banks are the ‘price makers’. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.
Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.
Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy’s currency.
WHAT CURRENCIES TO TRADE IN THE FOREX MARKET
You can trade any country’s currency by exchanging it to another country’s currency, however the list below are the ones that are the most popular and are usually made available by most online brokers for you to trade.

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Aug 31, 2008 at 15:11 o\clock
FOREX Trading Strategy | ForexGen
by: forexgenpivot Keywords: forexgen, client, easily, manage, mostly, orders, quotes, trader, within, forex, types, using, mode, news, user, whom, cfd, forex, forex


I ventured into the FOREX market a little more than 1 year ago. I have tried and tested many different types of trading techniques and styles. Most were failures and some were successful. From my experience, traders making money in FOREX will not reveal their trading system, simply because somebody has to lose money in order for you to make money.Currently I have two strategies working for me. I started with a demo account a little more than one year ago and used the obvious techniques such as technical analysis and fundamentals. Technical analysis seemed to be the easiest method for an inexperienced trader since it only required looking at charts as opposed to watching the news. I used indicators such as MACD, Fibonacci, and RSI to help assess the market and make a prediction on price movement. Needless to say I was successful in my demo account, however when I went live, fear set in and I could not trade using the same techniques I had developed over 4 months of trading with a demo account.

The stress was too much and like a lot of people, I started looking for a FOREX signals provider to minimize the time spent and stress. After some due diligence on quite a few FOREX signals providers, I did find a reliable FOREX charting software package that provided excellent signals. To my surprise, the signals worked. The only difficult part was to discipline myself to take each signal whether I agreed with it or not. After all, the company I chose had a winning track record for 3 consecutive years.
Now that I had a positive flow of income from a FOREX signals provider, I decided to open a second account using my own trading system. This is where I discovered what I feel is a full proof system when it comes to making a fast 30 to 50 pips in FOREX.

Trading now for a little more than 1 year, I noticed that the market moved on speculation. Speculation based on fear and news events, such as the CPI and retail sales. I noticed that between the times of 4:30 am eastern and 8:30 am there was a lot of critical news in majors such as the Euro and the British Pound. The market would move at the exact moment these major news events were released. If a news event was due out at 4:30 am on the British Pound, more than likely the market spiked at that exact moment 30 to sometimes 50 pips up or down. What I started to do was trade on these news events. I would wait until that exact moment the news was due out and execute a trade when the market moved more than 7 pips from its current price 15 seconds before the news is released. A stop-loss should be set at 10 pips above or below the current price.

The trick to this method is executing the trade at the right time and discipline yourself to keep your stop-loss very tight, setting it to no more than 10 pips after you got into the trade. The reason being, this works all of the time, but if you click too soon or too late you could fail to predict the direction of the market. However, when you are right, your winning trades will outweigh your losing traders significantly since you are looking to make a gain of 30-50 pips and if you a wrong a loss of only 10 pips. I have used this method for 5 months and it works.
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Froxe United States

The following data have been gathered by Capgemini and are part of the World Retail Banking Report published annually in March.

Macro economic indicators (2006)

GDP at current prices
$13,225 billion
Inhabitants
299.7 million
GDP per head
$44,071
Economic growth rate
+3.3%
Consumer confidence indicator
99.6
Unemployment rate
4.7%
Consumer Price Index
4.0%
Banking Importance
20.8%
Number of branches
92,000
Number of ATMs
420,000
Households savings ratio
0.5%
Inflation rate
+3.2%
Interest rate, consumer credit
13.21%
Interest rate, residential
6.22%
Number of credit cards
1,46 billion

Type and size of players

Total Banking Income and Cost/Income Ratio
(Operating Expenses/Total Banking Income)


USA Retail Banking Income 2006

Products


USA Market Deposits & Loans

U.S. retail banking market is highly fragmented. This is illustrated by the fact that the top 10 U.S. Banks held only about 36% of the market share based on total U.S. deposits.

Total Deposits in US$ (31.12.2006 )

US Bank Entity

Trends

Customer Experience
• Banks are beginning to design products that cross customer silos:
- Customers in the past have had varying experiences and disparities in service quality across channels (branch, phone, internet) and across products (mortgage, etc.)
- Banks are beginning to improve and align processes like product applications and cross-selling
• Interactive products are increasing as customers become more comfortable using the internet:
- Banks expected to offer new products geared towards online self-service interactions
• Branch locations are increasing in number and being renovated:
- Self-service channels (ATM, phone, internet) are not effective for customer acquisition and cross-selling
- Branch locations are to be used as sales platforms by leveraging retail practices such as product displays, merchandising and layouts (demographic targeting)

Marketing / Target Products
• Faced with strong competition, banks are becoming more proactive with their marketing initiatives:
- Customer acquisition strategies being replaced by efforts to cross-sell products and services with marketing campaigns around specific customer interactions
• Continued investment in non-core product offerings:
- In redefining their marketing strategies, banks remain attracted to products traditionally offered by Financial Services companies
• Competition with Financial Services firms for retirement assets:
- Banks are marketing 401K programs to corporations in order to gain access to their employees in expectation of cross-selling other products and services

M&A Overload
• Recent acquisitions have resulted in some large banks having huge asset totals that must be earning returns for investors:
- Heated competition and sophistication in targeting loan offers to consumers